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--- 【关注】2019年大选系列(2)加拿大有望迎来新总理 (http://www.calgarychinese.com/china8863/cgi-bin/forums.cgi?forum=130&topic=216)


-- 作者: 斯人已归
-- 发布时间: 2019/10/18 07:27pm

<p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">加拿大大选将在</span><strong style="font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">下周一10月21</span></strong><span style="font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">号举行,届时谁能赢得加拿大大选周一晚将会揭晓。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-size: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">保守党阵营</span></strong></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">最近保守党表现后来居上,已经有超过自由党的势头。今天保守党党魁Andrew Scheer信心十足地表示周一的大选就是应该</span><strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">“胜者为王”</span></strong><span style="font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">:下周一赢得最多席位的党派应该组阁,而如果现任总理没赢得多数就应该辞职,这是近代加拿大大选的惯例(<em style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 20px;text-align: start;white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">modern convention in Canadian politics.</span></strong></em>)。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.3361921097770155" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mJfWDcfUvuUxwJtF5h97vicv7hKM3eoPckHP9T3ntR8NqCSv7bESpCDA/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="583" style="height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 18px;">保守党党魁Andrew Scheer表示,Trudeau如果输掉大选应该马上辞职</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 18px;"><strong><em><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">"But what I'm saying is that the party that wins the most seats should be able to FORM the government and the other convention in modern Canadian politics is that a prime minister who enters into an election and comes </span></em></strong><em><strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">out of that election with fewer seats than another party, resigns. That is a modern convention in Canadian politics."</span></strong></em></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);"><em style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 20px;"><strong><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">---- Convervative Party Leader Andrew Scheer</span></strong></em></span><em style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 20px;"></em><br  /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="1" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mic0phfNicl7V5TRqYHOb0aDlSk4qqFESkzJh3TP8dma0M4pbMIdPJZLQ/640?wx_fmt=gif" data-type="gif" data-w="300" style="height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="text-align: left;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 20px;text-align: start;">而虽然民调只是打平手,但是Andrew Scheer非常自信地表示,他有理由相信保守党不单止会胜利,而且会大胜。(这么有信心?)</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><br  /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.2810985460420032" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mNh7ytTSicwF4Nv61ibtGQz443ebWW7I3ziabsibIBRDGNH4T3zT5qNPT6g/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="619" style="height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">主编君之前报道虽然民意调查,自由党和保守党整个竞选期间几乎都旗鼓相当,但是</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">自由党之前在真正决定加拿大大选结果的席位上面,大幅领先</em></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">,</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">当时自由党在最重要的席位统计上还是大幅领先,而主编君也通过对大选的跟踪观察,当时就表示难道保守党机会来了,自由党这次要马失前蹄,执政一轮游?</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;">参看之前报道:</span></p><h2 class="rich_media_title" style="margin-bottom: 14px;font-size: 22px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.4;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: start;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MjM5OTY2MDY3Ng==&amp;mid=2651962274&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=402094b9426bb922433b1fb41c4d8e6e&amp;chksm=bcdd06498baa8f5f2001526d2754d55f81cc29259be7187d162a60023a2c523ef5a8c5402dfb&amp;token=451075958&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="text-decoration: underline;" data-linktype="2"><strong><em>加拿大2019年大选系列(1)最新分析:</em></strong><strong><em>民调逆转!</em></strong><strong><em>保守党有望后来居上获得优先组阁机会。</em></strong></a><span style="text-decoration: underline;"></span><a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=Mzg4NjA5MjAyNg==&amp;mid=2247484378&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=87415f4a11e94e8583605ac352e32be8&amp;chksm=cf9fba4ff8e8335986166a8d800092326fd70cb14be07a5c57a3a66c697e2eee2bb361154615&amp;token=598272882&amp;lang=zh_CN&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect" target="_blank" style="font-size: 20px;text-decoration: underline;" data-linktype="2"></a></h2><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">好消息是,离大选还有一周,<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">最权威的CBC和 338最新综合民调在周末均显示在席位上,由于NDP和BQ(魁北克党)的崛起,</strong></span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">自由党已经在席位上落后于保守党</strong></span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">!</strong></span><br  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: inherit;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;border-width: 0px;border-style: initial;border-color: initial;font-variant-numeric: inherit;font-variant-east-asian: inherit;font-stretch: inherit;line-height: 30px;font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;vertical-align: baseline;-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);text-align: start;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"></strong></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-size: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">自由党阵营</span></strong></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">相比于保守党党魁Andrew Scheer的信心十足,Trudeau则在昨天首次承认大选可能会输,</span><span style="font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);">”当大家周二起床的时候,可能发现加拿大会有新的总理“</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">,</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;">同时表示希望自由党支持者踊跃投票,避免这种情况的出现。</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.9509071504802561" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mdoDx07IibGPPat784W3zsQ3bFfbbqVH5XsVd8Usn1NRAHx65wFgFs9w/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="937" style="height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 18px;"><strong><em><span style="font-size: 18px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">”We could wake up next Tuesday with a government led by a new leader,”</span></em></strong></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-size: 18px;"><em><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">------加拿大总理 Justin Trudeau Oct 16, 2019</span></em></strong></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><strong style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-size: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">NDP阵营</span></strong></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;">NDP党魁Jagmeet Singh自从辩论以来表现出色,民调直线上升,之前表示NDP不会和保守党合作,今天更是表示</span><strong><span style="font-size: 20px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);">NDP并不尊重保守党。。。</span></strong></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;">虽然大家政见不一样,就好像之前大麻该不该合法,是否关闭油砂一样,不同意大家起码也互相尊重吧。这直接说我不需要尊重你们,加拿大超过30%的保守党支持者怎么看?</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(20, 23, 26);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, Ubuntu, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 23px;text-align: start;white-space: pre-wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">"I don't respect Conservatives."</span></strong></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(20, 23, 26);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Segoe UI&quot;, Roboto, Ubuntu, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 23px;text-align: start;white-space: pre-wrap;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">---- NDP 党魁 Jagmeet Singh</span></strong></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.5405405405405406" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mwHYrS0YRW884XWX4ps1WUhXnpGvTvibg9iavkIk7BCmM2h5zCtsJicopw/640?wx_fmt=gif" data-type="gif" data-w="370" style="text-align: center;"  /><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;"><br  /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="1.346709470304976" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mfEoE19UsWJNO73A3jtm7F7tvOQIpYGLl1yIOX5Qpl92ibnOJc3FTeJw/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="623" style="height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-size: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">让我们来看看最新形势:</span></strong><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">CBC最新综合民调:</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="0.5081080794334412" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlJXt2ytqwCGb2LgEGEvL4XlzvANhb7N8bunbQzgvvzyl4sV06wfQprQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;visibility: visible !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">338(Mclean)最新综合民调:</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5645901639344262" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1m5ibjHk1hU8icuY7PssXbtP0rESM4zZb5pybE8gnkDaworP2RVGAj6cPg/640?wx_fmt=png" data-type="png" data-w="1525" style="height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">“群情汹涌”:</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="1.7351350784301758" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlPAjLJcoYy68LbZRAelDMRyT0QllycP3IYyMbkg9elmGusAtoNo7DMQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;visibility: visible !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">哪种结果对阿省最有利!</span></strong></em><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">?</span></strong></em><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">或者最不利!</span></strong></em><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">?</span></strong></em></span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">对于NDP党魁Jagmeet Singh先生近日再次表示不会支持保守党,而会和自由党联合,并且表示会关闭油砂以及补贴即将失业的油砂业从业者。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="" data-croporisrc="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9Ul2UibHH05ClK8IsfwUp171X9pibiavMhqWuw695gPsc7On8nnjkzzj58rA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-cropx1="0" data-cropx2="1080" data-cropy1="152.40418118466903" data-cropy2="2096.0278745644605" data-ratio="1.798148148148148" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1080" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlxL658LNPElYZOaoH5Lzdjibzr4DpY6Sp4icBfHrc9Gescd6JnTPkgEXA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="background-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);background-size: 22px;background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 574px !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">那么到底NDP+自由党能否组阁?</span></strong></em></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">原则上是可以的,但是前提是自由党必须先赢得大选,因为按照惯例,赢得大选的党魁将会有优先组阁机会。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="1.3729729652404785" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlK05R59CvKZvsDAUia09PdhS3beDpN0icxCswoJjgMVia5XBbicVop0Rr6A/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="background-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);background-size: 22px;background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-size: 24px;font-style: italic;font-weight: 700;">如果保守党赢得大选,但是只是少数党政府能否上台?</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;">上次类似情况是2006年大选,自由党总理Paul Martin在选举失败之后很快就向Stephen Harper承认Defeat,即使Martin是当时时任总理,即使Harper是少数党政府。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">但是大选失败,按照民主原则,赢得大选的政党,即时是少数党也有机会担任总理组阁。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">有很多朋友最近看了部分微信文章说,会不会Trudeau面皮厚,输了大选但是联合NDP不辞职继续执政?主编君认为如果保守党赢得大选,Trudeau不辞职的机会是很低的:</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第一</span></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">,正如上面最近的案例,2006年当时也是自由党时任总理Paul Martin输掉了大选。当时也是保守党赢得大选,但是不够绝大多数,所以就算上台也是少数党政府,而当时也没有其他政党表示会联合保守党一起组阁。Paul Martin也辞职了,让保守党有组阁机会,有例可循。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第二</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">,输掉大选不辞职,这个并不是一个政党说了算的,还要加拿大Governor General同意,而2017年BC就是一个例子,当时主编君直播了BC大选,虽然时任自由党省长Christy Clark赢得了大选,保住了省长职位,但是因为得不到绿党的支持,拿不到多数席位,和省督商谈两个小时后还是最终失去了省长之位,尊重民意,由NDP+绿党联合执政。说起来,对阿省又是一把泪。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;">参看主编君当时的直播:</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p><img data-ratio="1.4594594240188599" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mICY1f1ibN1vZz4sIf3n866BqPRbBCEKvpz4JEJb2jYR5vticImk9lgzg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p><img data-ratio="1.670270323753357" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mwF7KtGfMSyVibNnWMrYVZDwzfJcswPA59xpFVHJbeV1pqN99ZkMibiaBw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370"  /></p><p><img data-ratio="1.4270269870758057" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mAOz5umZd4gYqfERapWuAEPkfkkoojmy34g6JoVvlLicnhsTLiaNCEZbg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p><img data-ratio="2.1513514518737793" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zdGZMNFAABlG9c4pNMN7o1mKCAgEHlLBseqgEhShBGyMuUUDppuarJ41EouVzd7rbsGKQO0SRa1NQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="color: rgb(61, 61, 61);font-size: 13px;">主编君2017年的直播,BC自由党输掉大选,NDP+绿党上台。心至今仍在痛。。。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-weight: bold;max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-weight: bold;max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第</span><span style="color: rgb(255, 76, 65);max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;">三</span><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">,输掉大选,日子还是要继续的,加拿大是民主国家。这次输了,可以重来,但是如果逆民意不辞职,政治后果是相当严重的。加拿大的选民也不是吃素的,如果有领导人试图玩弄政体对抗民意,后果是很严重和深远的。比如说2011年的大选,当时自由党,NDP等联合起来对Harper投Non Confidence Vote,的确得逞提前大选,但是大选结果出乎意料:Harper的保守党非但没有下台,而且还获得了绝大多数席位,首次不用看别的党派面色执政!</span><br  /></p><p><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class=" __bg_gif" data-ratio="0.6" data-type="gif" data-w="400" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlJP2Ys6Sflep5CtQDnpfnoB7XV1J2ibFoAbKmSMNAYNDRdj3GsFIJP7w/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 400px !important;visibility: visible !important;height: auto !important;"  /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">综上所分析和最近的类似大选案例,只要保守党能够获得大多数席位,<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">上台执政的希望还是很大的</strong>,因为虽然NDP明确表示不会支持保守党,但是目前民意<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第三大党BQ并没有把话说死。</strong></span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="0.5675675868988037" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlMbYlefKIWmJ8kE6G38HPXKhEDQKc8ic3118Muxy1SBFHZlmTSldv2bQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;visibility: visible !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">保守党党魁Scheer表示要扶持能源行业</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">保守党和BQ在这两个问题上是一致的:</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第一</span></em></span></strong><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">,保守党不反对Bill 21。</span></em></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">第二</span></em></strong></span><em style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">,保守党是目前大党派当中唯一愿意考虑给予BQ要求的魁北克单一收入税的党派。</span></em></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">有这两大合作优势,BQ是愿意接受和保守党合作的机会,还是强硬不合作,而再次进行大选,到时候的结果并未可知,万一再次大选,BQ是不可能有机会自己上台的,自由党或者保守党拿到了多数,不一起玩了,连“辅政”的机会也没有了。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">所以对阿省来说,希望保守党能够赢得大选,不然</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;">少数党政府似乎不可避免。</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;">目前最可能的Scenario是自由党+NDP或者是 保守党+魁北克党。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">而NDP是说了要关闭油砂,拒绝油管的。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);font-size: 24px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">这种情况有多坏? </span></strong></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="0.5675675868988037" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UltIgJm2hUUibCKJOaDAiahcnBRux71S8lUicKEGsx0fMZHy1icsYdicCL8HQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="background-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);background-size: 22px;background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;height: auto !important;"  /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">两个席位之差,阿省人民惨痛记忆。<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">让我们来回顾一下历史:</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">1980年Justin Trudeau父亲老Pierre Trudeau开始推行的NEP,在今天阿省政府网站上,根据之后UC教授Robert Mansell后来的研究,保守估计数年间对阿省直接造成1390亿加元的损失(当年中国全国GDP约为2030亿美元),不包括因为能源业萧条造成的其他经济损失。</span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">1390亿加元。。。。。1980年代。。。。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">1980期间,上1000亿加元直接经济损失。是历史上对阿省直接经济打击最大的国家政策,没有之一。 传奇省长Peter Lougheed通过关闭油砂项目,电视讲话,断油等手段强逼Pierre Trudeau重回谈判桌,对抗其对阿省的直接剥削。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="0.7945945858955383" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UljROrlSzcCeOia5Q7w97tM6BH75GrpWTucib2BK1ATuAzpordpJkaFghw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="background-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);background-size: 22px;background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">阿省传奇省长Peter Lougheed 和Pierre Trudeau</p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">阿省老居民对NEP和卡城“一元屋”的记忆。</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="0.5081080794334412" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlEibk7MtmBk2TZEn9nKhbjS0WA8NeYp4hkwtKtNGmg45ePvZN9fehuWQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;visibility: visible !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">直到保守党总理Brian Mulroney上台,解雇了自由党任命的设计NEP的办公室主任Ed Clark(后来进入银行业,成为TD银行和Canada Trust合并以后CEO)才宣布NEP的正式结束。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">阿省政府关于NEP的惨痛描述:</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img data-ratio="2.1513514518737793" data-type="jpeg" data-w="370" class="" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlL1gQiaM6BEpdqqqePx4ib4rm7cAkKJbyMvxgc0kTJdaOYLicz37icoLckg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 370px !important;visibility: visible !important;height: auto !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">但是NEP对阿省造成的损失已经不可逆转。同学们还愿意看到类似的事情再次发生在我们这一辈身上吗?</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="__bg_gif" data-ratio="0.5642857142857143" data-type="gif" data-w="280" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/N4ptDeLj6zcJoT2p6l378tx3F5AricAqI5t1x8LXLqcD1cia9oY0j9Xp1gF3cNhD2AQlKdGbibHjq4QS6g4TgHfqw/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="background-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);background-size: 22px;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 18px;text-align: start;background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 280px !important;height: auto !important;"  /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: inherit;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;border-width: 0px;border-style: initial;border-color: initial;font-variant-numeric: inherit;font-variant-east-asian: inherit;font-stretch: inherit;line-height: 30px;font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;vertical-align: baseline;-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);text-align: start;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><em style="font-size: 24px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">投票你我他</span></strong></em><br  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.5087890625" data-s="300,640" data-type="png" data-w="1024" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/N4ptDeLj6zesETiciakukatEicvsQEKA9UlNGtRD4vIqtqZudPsfqLW0RBWqLwhiaoQI76j5aa1L0qv7bdGLv35Qyg/640?wx_fmt=png" style="background-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(238, 237, 235);background-size: 22px;text-align: center;background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;width: 678px !important;height: auto !important;"  /></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">加拿大大选将在</span><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(255, 76, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">下周一10月21</span></strong><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">号举行,届时谁能赢得加拿大大选周一晚将会揭晓。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">而最近对大选的走向和猜测也到了前所未有的讨论程度,特别是朋友圈,微信群,日常当中,各种的狂轰滥炸。。。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">同学们和朋友吃饭聊天有没有发现,大家都在讨论工作,就业,房价,经济等问题的时候,很多朋友或多或少都受到过去几年经济不景的影响。</span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">这就是加拿大的民主政治,<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">你不关心政治,政治可能会随时来“关心”你</strong>,无论是你的工作,房子,投资和家庭,政治都可能对你经济生活各方面有一定影响。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 28px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: &quot;Open Sans&quot;, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;text-align: start;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 20px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">而加拿大最大的“政治”事件,<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">通常四年一度的大选</strong>,下周就要尘埃落定了。</span></p>


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